Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000266 0.000298 0.000332 0.000371 0.000415 0.000462 0.000518
2025-03-23 0.000223 0.000266 0.000315 0.000374 0.000446 0.000528 0.000629
2025-03-30 0.000189 0.000238 0.000297 0.000372 0.000467 0.000583 0.000734
2025-04-06 0.000167 0.000220 0.000287 0.000378 0.000498 0.000650 0.000858
2025-04-13 0.000148 0.000204 0.000277 0.000380 0.000522 0.000710 0.000979
2025-04-20 0.000131 0.000187 0.000264 0.000377 0.000538 0.000759 0.001088
2025-04-27 0.000121 0.000180 0.000263 0.000388 0.000573 0.000838 0.001245
2025-05-04 0.000111 0.000171 0.000257 0.000393 0.000600 0.000905 0.001390
2025-05-11 0.000103 0.000162 0.000252 0.000397 0.000625 0.000971 0.001537
2025-05-18 0.000093 0.000152 0.000243 0.000394 0.000638 0.001018 0.001660
2025-05-25 0.000087 0.000146 0.000239 0.000398 0.000662 0.001085 0.001819
2025-06-01 0.000080 0.000137 0.000231 0.000394 0.000672 0.001130 0.001944
2025-06-08 0.000074 0.000130 0.000224 0.000393 0.000690 0.001190 0.002102
2025-06-15 0.000069 0.000124 0.000220 0.000395 0.000710 0.001256 0.002277
2025-06-22 0.000063 0.000117 0.000212 0.000392 0.000722 0.001308 0.002432
2025-06-29 0.000060 0.000113 0.000210 0.000397 0.000750 0.001390 0.002648
2025-07-06 0.000056 0.000109 0.000207 0.000399 0.000771 0.001462 0.002851
2025-07-13 0.000052 0.000103 0.000200 0.000395 0.000781 0.001514 0.003019
2025-07-20 0.000050 0.000102 0.000202 0.000407 0.000822 0.001626 0.003314
2025-07-27 0.000048 0.000099 0.000200 0.000412 0.000850 0.001716 0.003573
2025-08-03 0.000045 0.000096 0.000198 0.000416 0.000876 0.001804 0.003836
2025-08-10 0.000042 0.000092 0.000192 0.000413 0.000886 0.001860 0.004035
2025-08-17 0.000040 0.000089 0.000191 0.000417 0.000913 0.001953 0.004321